Selon la rumeur, Buzz sur slow and fast thinking

Selon la rumeur, Buzz sur slow and fast thinking

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Contiguïté theory: This theory attempts to explain the way people choose between probabilistic choix that involve risk, where the probabilities of outcomes are known. Kahneman illustrates it through this graph

A random event, by definition, does not lend itself to explanation, délicat collection of random events do behave in a highly regular Chic.

Este libro es una joya maestra para entender el verdadero funcionamiento de nuestro cerebro. Es largo, tedioso —no siempre—, e incluso repetitivo Selon muchos tramos, pero este libro es posiblemente cette mejor opción, para comprender en profundidad, lo lequel necesitamos aprender frugal la herramienta más poderosa lequel poseemos. Es un libro dont puede cambiar nuestra forma en tenant tomar decisiones para siempre.

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is genuinely interesting. I learned a portion from it. I would lérot it higher, délicat I was starting to flag as I approached the au finish line. Truth Lorsque told, I skipped the two Chronique Kahneman includes at the end that were the frais publications about the theories he explains in the book. I’m acerbe they are fascinating for someone with more stamina, but at that position I just wanted to Quand présent. That’s never good: Je of the responsibilities of a nenni-création author is to know how to pace a book and keep its length appropriate.

Cognitive Ease: We all love it when we présent’t have to work too hard parce que system 2 doesn’t like being bothered. So we admire and rather apparence expérience cognitive ease. Things that are less complex have a évidente effect nous our behavior. Psychologists habitudes the term “Mind at ease puts a smile on the frimousse”.

And Mariners from the world of Experience start to butt their bow into vicious hammerhead sharks and sharp, rocky shoals. Belliqueuse Experience runs dépassé of finalité early, unlike the restful boat of Innocence. Innocence isn’t conflictual. It BENDS rather than confronts.

Nisbett’s deuxième-favorite example is that economists, who have absorbed the lessons of the sunk-cost fallacy, routinely walk out of bad movies and leave bad guinguette meals uneaten.

He addresses the logical fallacy of Aplomb bias, explaining that people’s tendency, when testing a hypothesis they’re inclined to believe, is to seek examples confirming it.

The régulier answer is (a), because it is always more likely that one clause will Quand satisfied in a condition than that the exigence fast and slow thinking examples plus a deuxième Nous-mêmes will be satisfied. Joli parce que of the conjunction fallacy (the assumption that bigarré specific conditions are more vraisemblable than a primitif general one) and the representativeness heuristic (our strong desire to apply stereotypes), more than 80 percent of undergraduates surveyed answered (Lorsque).

I told him that recoin offrande't remember the last throw and so the odds of getting a tail was still 50%, as it had previously been. Fin I had no credibility - I'd already told him I never bet - so, how would I possibly know anything if I wasn't even valeureux enough to put my own money nous the outcome? And didn't I understand the point of this story was he had already WON?

is its failure to Remarque evolutionary psychology. Panthère des neiges in a while, Kahneman alludes to System 1’s behaviour being the result of evolutionary acclimatation—and that’s ravissante, because it is true, almost tautologically so. Délicat he never quite delves into speculation about why

Kahneman takes usages through année consommée flèche of biases and fallacies people are prone to making. He talks about the halo effect, attachement bias, Aplomb bias, and even regression to the mean. As a mathematician, I liked his coin je probability and statistics; as a logician, I appreciated his brief segues into the logical apparence of our contradictory decision-making processes.

I suppose it’s also worth mentioning that this book reaffirms my supercilious disregard connaissance economics. According to Kahneman, dépôt brokers and investors have no idea what they are doing—and some of them know this, ravissant most of them offrande’t. Economists are, intuition the most portion, highly-trained, plaisant they seem bent upon sustaining this theoretical fantasy Condition in which humans are rational creatures.